Another interesting article from James Park for bow-international

An investigation unsefully only possible with direct access to the database of Word Archery.

My attention has won that little things you can read between the lines.

I have spend a lot of time last year to find out how to calculate the score probabilty of a given archers skill level. The user manual of ArtemisLite App was very helpful for that.

By the way I found also the solution how to calculate the probabilities of winning a set any number of arrows.

So I am curious about the announced article if the results match mine.

Let´s say Brady Ellison has an average skill level of 107 for the period 2016-2018 and Sjef van den Berg 104.5.

Then the set scores probabilities for 70 meters are like the article:

For each set Brady has a probability of 43% to win that set in a head to head with Sjet. Sjet himself gets a 32% probability and for the rest of 25% there will be an equal.

Same both archers at a indoor match will change the probabilties:

The probability for an equal set score is much more higher.

An investigation unsefully only possible with direct access to the database of Word Archery.

My attention has won that little things you can read between the lines.

I have spend a lot of time last year to find out how to calculate the score probabilty of a given archers skill level. The user manual of ArtemisLite App was very helpful for that.

By the way I found also the solution how to calculate the probabilities of winning a set any number of arrows.

So I am curious about the announced article if the results match mine.

Let´s say Brady Ellison has an average skill level of 107 for the period 2016-2018 and Sjef van den Berg 104.5.

Then the set scores probabilities for 70 meters are like the article:

For each set Brady has a probability of 43% to win that set in a head to head with Sjet. Sjet himself gets a 32% probability and for the rest of 25% there will be an equal.

Same both archers at a indoor match will change the probabilties:

The probability for an equal set score is much more higher.

## Comment